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It is expected that China’s macro policies next year will not be looser than this year

It is expected that China’s macro policies next year will not be looser than this year

  • Categories:Industry News
  • Author:
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  • Time of issue:2016-09-19 16:17
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(Summary description)The Central Economic Work Conference, which sets the tone for next year’s economic policy, will be held this month. Judging from the information disclosed so far, all walks of life are most concerned about setting the economic growth target next year.

It is expected that China’s macro policies next year will not be looser than this year

(Summary description)The Central Economic Work Conference, which sets the tone for next year’s economic policy, will be held this month. Judging from the information disclosed so far, all walks of life are most concerned about setting the economic growth target next year.

  • Categories:Industry News
  • Author:
  • Origin:
  • Time of issue:2016-09-19 16:17
  • Views:
Information
The Central Economic Work Conference, which sets the tone for next year’s economic policy, will be held this month. Judging from the information disclosed so far, all walks of life are most concerned about setting the economic growth target next year. It is generally believed that the 7.5% growth rate of this year will continue next year to maintain policy continuity and prevent major ups and downs in the year of change and increase instability. factor. According to people familiar with the matter, when determining this target, the central government had two opinions. One opinion supported the continued "steady growth" at a growth rate of 7.5%, and the other suggested that the growth target for 2013 should be lowered to 7. %. Those who hold the latter view believe that the overall economic situation in China next year is cautiously optimistic, so it is possible to convey to the outside world the message that the new government pays more attention to "structural adjustment."
 
Judging from China’s past experience, every time a new government comes to power, the local government will set off a round of investment climax, but this is not what the new government is happy to see. Therefore, if the growth rate is set at 7%, it can be Indicate to local governments that the central government can tolerate a slightly slower economic growth rate, but will have higher requirements for the quality of economic growth. Some analysts believe that although next year will be the "starting year" for the new central leadership, because General Secretary Xi Jinping and Vice Premier Li Keqiang have already played an important role in the formulation of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011-2015)". Therefore, the current economic policy also reflects the policy guidelines of the two. It is expected that there will not be much change after the Central Economic Work Conference. The prudent monetary policy and proactive fiscal policy will continue to lead, and the sensitive property market regulation will continue to be comprehensive. The main focus is to curb the demand for speculative investment in housing and promote the real transformation of the domestic housing market.
 
In terms of specific policy directions, this year’s Central Economic Work Conference may mainly focus on mid- and long-term policy planning. First, it will promote economic restructuring so that economic development is more driven by technological progress, the improvement of labor quality, and management innovation; When the external demand market may be slowing down for a long time, domestic demand must be expanded. A series of recent policies to boost consumption have already been seen; furthermore, the promotion of urbanization, the development of the service industry, and the development of the central and western regions are still the focus of future policies. On the whole, China's economic situation next year is cautiously optimistic, and macroeconomic policies will not be looser than this year.

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